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Poland facing demographic catastrophe

10th January 2014
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In 2060, over a third (34.5 percent) of Poles will be aged 65 or more, according to forecasts from Eurostat. No other EU country bar Latvia, will have as many senior citizens. In the past 25 years, the number of children under the age of 15 has dropped by an astounding 40 percent million to 5.8 million. At the same time, the number of Polish citizens aged 65 and over has risen by over 50 percent to 5.6 million.

“This means that a decreasing number of workers are going to be maintaining an increasing number of pensioners. This will bring with it the risk of a revolution and cause a wave of emigration,” said Krystyna Iglicka-Okólska, a demography expert at the Lazarski University.

“We could have young workers protesting because their real incomes will be low and they could be joined by the pensioners who will have low pensions and even employers who will likely have to pay high taxes and will thus have meager profits,” she added.

In order to balance the equation, Poland would have to import at least 5 million immigrants by 2050. “But we would have to compete with richer western countries for these immigrants and besides Poland would stop being an ethnically homogenous society then. Poles are not ready for this,” Iglicka-Okólska said.

Poland A.M.

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