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Coalition likely to remain the same

9th October 2011
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Sunday night, after the polls had closed, TNS-OBOP exit polls showed that Prime Minister Donald Tusk had led his party to a historic consecutive parliamentary election victory and is set to rule Poland for another four years.

Civic Platform (PO) received 39.6 percent of the vote, opposition Law and Justice (PiS) garnered 30.1 percent, while Palikot's Movement (RP) came in third with 10.1 percent, according to the exit polls.

The ruling party's current coalition partner, the Polish People's Party (PSL) received 8.2 percent, while the Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) was supported by 7.7 of Poles.

If the exit polls prove to be correct, PO would have 212 parliamentary seats while PSL would have 27.

This means the two parties would have a comfortable majority of 239 votes in parliament. A total of 231 votes is needed to form a majority in the Polish parliament. Before the elections, most analysts had predicted that after today's vote, PO would not have enough votes to form a government alone with PSL and would need a third coalition partner. This would have made for a rather messy and potentially volatile political situation, the last thing Poland needs in this time of global economic uncertainty and the crisis in the euro zone.

After the exit polls were announced Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski confirmed that “if it is possible with PSL, we have always said we are interested in continuing the coalition with them.”

“In front of us, we have the next not-so-easy step of putting it all together,” commented Waldemar Pawlak, the current deputy prime minister and leader of PSL. This is no doubt Mr Pawlak's opening negotiating position, but the last four years of the PO-PSL coalition has been stable without any major public disputes. It looks like Poland could be in for another four years of a smoothly-functioning government.


From Warsaw Business Journal by Remi Adekoya


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